While Serving at Indian Army Headquarters at Delhi, as Deputy Director-General of Military Operations (dealing with East Asia and CHINA) based on Anticipatory Threat Analysis and Predictability Threat Analysis, I could predict in 1993 about the Chinese Futuristic Designs up to 2035, against India to Settle the India – China boundary dispute in favour of China; and how should India counter the Chinese designs, which will be as follows.
Build pressure on India and Indian Armed Forces, through aggressive ingress and forcibly occupy territory in Arunachal Pradesh (which was earlier known as NEFA and how called by China as South Tibet); Badrinath, Kedarnath Sector of then Uttar Pradesh (now Uttarakhand) and Ladakh.
Aggravate internal unrest through insurgency and unconventional warfare in North Eastern States of India and Jammu and Kashmir State (J&K) by promoting and sustaining proxy war through direct and active involvement of Pakistan to promote, sustain, finance, direct and Control Separatists movement through TERRORISM. Promote feeling against India based on religious fundamentalism spread by separatists and anti-Indian elements. (Political and Religious leaders)
Create an alarmingly dangerous situation in Kashmir by forcing Kashmiri Pandits to vacate Kashmir, thereby creating a demographically favourable situation to help Pakistan. At that time Pakistan was totally focused and engaged in creating “Strategic Depth” for Pakistan by keeping Afghanistan under Pakistan through a terrorist organization such as Taliban, Al-Qaida and so on. This was an extension of the “Grand Design and Strategy” of Pakistani ruling regime to “Bleed India by thousand cuts”. As a result, a situation emerged in India in 1993, 1994, 1995 when some influential decision-maker and some political parties, secretly started convincing the Government of India to give up Kashmir to save India and establish permanent peace between Pakistan and India. Another section of decision-maker recommended that Government of that time should convert the line of control in Jammu and Kashmir into International Border, which will be acceptable to Pakistan. Even one of Chief Minister of Jammu and Kashmir in those days had recommended that line of control be declared as International Border!! This was to suit the long-term grand designs of China to take over POK from Pakistan under the garb of development, this was also to, later on, include Kargil Sector (we fought war in 1999 to take back Kargil from Pakistan army at a heavy cost) and Siachen Glacier Sector. If this had happened, China would have militarily captured Ladakh by launching military aggression into Ladakh from Western Ladakh and Eastern Ladakh. The Military adventure by PLA in eastern Ladakh in May – June 2020 would have happened much earlier. India would have lost Ladakh forever to China. It is very necessary to remember that one of the Prime Minister (as the reports Suggest) was willing to withdraw the Indian Army from Siachen Sector and declare the area as “Zone of Peace”!!
Create a dangerously challenging internal security threat in the form of a Naxalite/Maoist movement through “People’s War Group and People’s Liberation Army”. What was the motivation to convert and rename Naxalites to Maoist? It came from China and was implemented under the pressure from the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPIM).
China supplied weapons, equipment, war like sustenance, finance, training and international propaganda (Perception Management through Information warfare) in favour of insurgents operating in North East India, Naxalites, Maoists and terrorists fighting in Jammu and Kashmir. Pakistani sponsored and supported terrorists carried out a terrorist attack on Indian Parliament at Delhi and later at Taj Mahal Hotel, Chhatrapati Shivaji Railway Station and other places in Mumbai.
Create and sustain animosity between India and neighbouring countries of India like Nepal, Bhutan, Myanmar, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and of course Pakistan and create an environment of unrest towards India. We should not forget the emergence of Maoist Movement in Nepal which destroyed 300 years old ruling regime. Even today in 2020 there are Communist cadres in Nepal who are controlled by China. ULFA and Bodo insurgents had established camps, training facilities, and financial safe havens in Bangladesh, Myanmar and Unan Province of China adjoining Myanmar.
The list is endless. China created a China supporting political party and lobby in India through Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPIM), which had a very influential role in the Government and Governance of India till as late as 2013.
China offered Nuclear Technology, required material and financial help to possess Nuclear Weapons to Pakistan and even North Korea. Both are a permanent threat to world peace, stability, security and progress. Some rulers and nuclear scientists in Pakistan have accepted the possibility of smuggling of nuclear technology to some other countries which might have reached in the hands of terrorist organisations. (Those who are interested in detailed study and research on this issue can refer to my article “Buy One Bomb, Get Two Free Briefcase Size Nuclear Bomb” published on 26.09.2011). There is a need for students, researches and young thinkers of Political Science, International Relations, National Defense and Integrated National Security to carry out in-depthresearch and analysis to understand future challenges which will emerge from China.
Economically and industrially China has tried its best to make Indian Economy and industrial growth deeply linked to and dependent on China, by flooding Indian Markets with Cheap Chinese products, internet, mobile connectivity, information technology, cyber and space security.
China – Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) passing through Indian Claimed Pakistan occupied territory (POK) is also part of China’s grand design to encircle India through land routes and sea, by occupying seaports in Myanmar, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Pakistan (Gwadar, in Baluchistan).
China has been trying to establish a foothold in Maldives and Eastern Coast of Africa. It has established a Defence base in North Africa Djibouti. The ultimate aim of China is to control Indian Ocean Rim (IOR), East Coast of Africa, Red Sea, Gulf of Oman, the Arabian Sea and the South China Sea, for the furtherance of China’s trade through Sea. There is an age-old philosophy of world governance, “Anyone who controls sea will control the World”. In the 21st Century, the new philosophy of International governance is that “Anyone who controls the sea, undersea domain, land sky and space will rule and dominate the World.” China is working in this direction to accomplish its national vision and ambition to be the most powerful nation in the world.
By 2047, India will complete 100 years of our “Independence”. By 2049 China will complete 100 years of the emergence of the People’s Republic of China and the Chinese Communist party duly protected by Peoples Liberation Army (PLA). China would like to be alone superpower in the world; even more powerful than the USA, to be able to dominate the world in all aspects of the world‟s governance.
China is aware of the fact that India is the only country in Asia and as a next-door neighbour of China which can stand up to China’s grand designs and dangerous ambition of world domination.
